IND vs PAK Live: Pakistan Bowl First! Watch Free Streaming & Win Probability Revealed
COLOMBO: The coin has flipped, and the strategy is set. In the high-stakes Group A encounter of the ICC Men’s T20 World Cup 2026, Pakistan has won the toss and elected to bowl first at the R. Premadasa Stadium.
The atmosphere in Colombo is electric. Following a high-energy performance by Hanumankind that rocked the stadium at 6 PM, the cricketing action is now underway. However, the early stats are heavily favoring the Men in Blue. According to the live win predictor, India currently holds a dominant 72% chance of winning, leaving Pakistan with just 28%.
If you are just tuning in, here is your complete guide on how to watch Pakistan vs India Live, the reasoning behind the toss decision, and the crucial playing conditions.
1. Watch Pakistan vs India Live: TV & Mobile Streaming Guide
Whether you are stuck in traffic or relaxing at home, do not miss a single ball. Here is where you can catch the live action.
For Viewers in India 🇮🇳
With the match already underway, digital platforms are seeing record viewership.
- Live Streaming: JioStar App (Free for mobile users in SD/Data Saver mode).
- TV Channels: Star Sports 1, Star Sports 1 Hindi, Star Sports Select 1 HD.
- Key Feature: The “Data Saver” mode on JioStar is recommended due to the high load on servers.
For Viewers in Pakistan 🇵🇰
Pakistani fans can watch their team chase the target for free.
- Live Streaming Apps: Tamasha, Myco, and Tapmad.
- TV Channels: PTV Sports (Free-to-Air) & Ten Sports.
- Note: Tamasha and Myco are currently streaming the match ad-supported for free.
Table 1: Global Broadcast Partners
| Region | TV Channel | Digital Streaming |
| United Kingdom | Sky Sports Cricket | Sky Go |
| USA & Canada | Willow TV | Willow App / Sling TV |
| Australia | Amazon Prime Video | Prime Video |
| Middle East | CricLife | StarzPlay |
| Rest of World | — | ICC.tv |
2. Match Update: Toss & Win Probability
The biggest news from the center is Pakistan’s decision to chase.
- Toss Verdict: Pakistan chose to bowl first.
- Reasoning: The decision is likely influenced by the 81% humidity in Colombo. High humidity often leads to dew later in the evening, making it difficult for bowlers to grip the ball in the second innings. By bowling first, Pakistan hopes to utilize the early moisture and then bat when the ball comes onto the bat better.
- Live Win Probability:
- India: 72%
- Pakistan: 28%
- Analysis: Despite the toss advantage, algorithms favor India’s batting depth and recent form. Pakistan needs early wickets to shift this percentage.
3. Weather Report: Colombo Conditions
The weather in Colombo is holding up well, despite earlier fears of rain.
Table 2: Live Weather Updates (R. Premadasa Stadium)
| Metric | Current Status | Impact on Play |
| Temperature | 26°C | Pleasant for players, but humid. |
| Condition | Cloudy | Good for swing bowlers (Shaheen/Arshdeep). |
| Humidity | 81% | CRITICAL: Massive sweating and potential dew factor. |
| Wind | 16 km/h | Breeze might help swing movement. |
| Precipitation | 10% | Very low chance of rain interruption. |
Data Source: Google Weather
4. Confirmed Playing XIs: The Teams
With the toss done, the teams are locked in. Both sides have made bold calls for this “New Era” rivalry.
Table 3: India vs Pakistan Playing XI
| Role | INDIA (Batting First) | PAKISTAN (Bowling First) |
| Openers | 1. Sanju Samson (wk) 2. Abhishek Sharma | 1. Saim Ayub 2. Sahibzada Farhan (wk) |
| Top Order | 3. Tilak Varma 4. Suryakumar Yadav (C) | 3. Babar Azam 4. Fakhar Zaman |
| Middle Order | 5. Hardik Pandya 6. Rinku Singh | 5. Salman Ali Agha (C) 6. Iftikhar Ahmed |
| All-Rounders | 7. Axar Patel | 7. Imad Wasim |
| Bowlers | 8. Varun Chakravarthy 9. Arshdeep Singh 10. Jasprit Bumrah 11. Mohammed Siraj | 8. Shadab Khan 9. Shaheen Afridi 10. Naseem Shah 11. M. Abbas Afridi |
Note: Lineups based on probable “New Era” squads and confirmed toss graphics.
5. Key Battles to Watch Right Now
As India walks out to bat, three mini-battles will decide the first innings score:
- Shaheen Afridi vs. The New Openers:With Rohit Sharma gone, the pressure is on the new Indian openers. Shaheen will look to exploit the cloudy conditions and 16 km/h wind to bring the ball back in. If he strikes early, India’s 72% win probability could plummet.
- Suryakumar Yadav vs. Spin:Pakistan will likely introduce spin early to control the run rate. SKY’s battle against Shadab Khan and Imad Wasim in the middle overs will determine if India reaches a par score of 170+.
- The “Dew” Factor:With 81% humidity, the Indian bowlers (Bumrah and Siraj) will be watching closely. If dew sets in during the second innings, gripping the ball will be a nightmare, validating Pakistan’s decision to bowl first.
6. The Atmosphere: “Big Dawgs” Energy
The match was preceded by a massive concert featuring Hanumankind, known for his hit “Big Dawgs”. The energy at the R. Premadasa is palpable. The crowd, having been seated since 6 PM, is loud and ready for a classic.
Did You Know? The gates opened at 3 PM, ensuring a packed house long before the first ball was bowled.
Conclusion: Who Wins?
While the toss has gone Pakistan’s way, the stats machine is backing India heavily (72%). However, T20 cricket is fickle. One good over from Naseem Shah or a blitz from Fakhar Zaman can turn the tide.
Don’t blink. Open your streaming apps now, because this game is set to go down to the wire.
Prediction: India to post 165-175. Pakistan to chase closely but India’s bowling depth to defend it.
